About the event
Abstract: Cash transfers have expanded widely in developing countries, and have been credited for sizable reductions in poverty. Yet, the potential unintended consequences of these programs for labor markets have spurred a heated policy debate. This paper studies a context where potential disincentives to work are particularly strong: the impact of a large scale means-tested cash transfer program - Bolsa Familia in Brazil - on formal labor markets, where wages are more-easily verifiable. Using variation from an expansion of the program across municipalities, we find that it increased formal employment. The evidence is consistent with large multiplier effects of Bolsa Familia benefits that dominate negative effects in formal labor supply at the individual level, which we also document using variation from income eligibility thresholds. The results suggest that even in a context where disincentive effects are particularly strong, the total effect of the policy on local labor markets can be positive. They also highlight the importance of accounting for both individual and aggregate effects of cash transfer programs in the policy debate.
Please check back closer to the event for more details.
- The online seminars are held on Zoom and last 75 minutes; 60 minutes are allocated to the seminar and 15 minutes for discussion
- The online seminars are held on Zoom and last 60 minutes including discussion.
- The link to each seminar will appear above prior to the start time. Please email h.ku@ucl.ac.uk si.xu.20@ucl.ac.uk if you have not received the password by the day of the seminar.
- The moderator will collect audience questions in chat or using the 'raise hand' function, but feel free to interrupt the presenter for short questions or clarifications.
- Please keep your camera on and your microphone off except when asking questions.
- CReAM Office
Department of Economics
University College London
Drayton House
30 Gordon Street
London WC1H 0AX
020 3549 5390
cream@ucl.ac.uk
Closest tube stations:
Euston, Euston Square
